08-16-2024 - Geomagnetic, Solar, and Radio Activity Observations and Forecast
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08-16-2024 - Geomagnetic, Solar, and Radio Activity Observations and Forecast
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Description
Alright folks, let's dive into the cosmic weather forecast brought to you by the U.S. Department of Commerce and NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center. Geomagnetic Activity Observation: Over the past...
show moreGeomagnetic Activity Observation: Over the past 24 hours, the highest observed 3-hour Kp level was 3, staying below NOAA's scale. As we look ahead to Aug 16-18, we're expecting the Kp level to reach up to 4.67, indicating a G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm on the 18th due to a Coronal Mass Ejection from the Sun on the 14th.
Solar Radiation Activity Observation: NOAA's GOES-18 satellite reported solar radiation below storm levels in the last 24 hours. The forecast for Aug 16-18 shows a 15% chance of S1 (Minor) conditions due to complex solar regions causing flare potential.
Radio Blackout Activity: Recent radio blackouts hit R1 levels, with the largest recorded on Aug 15th at 0348 UTC. Looking forward to Aug 16-18, we're expecting R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) blackout levels at a 75% chance, and a 25% chance for R3 or greater, driven by multiple solar regions with flare potential.
For those who want to geek out more on this space weather forecast, check out the full details via the link in the show notes.
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Information
Author | QP-3 |
Organization | William Corbin |
Website | - |
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