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FWFB | Baseball - Episode 842 Part 1

FWFB | Baseball - Episode 842 Part 1
May 7, 2024 · 1h 43m 20s

Episode 842 Part 1 - What to Look For Host: Justin Mason https://twitter.com/JustinMasonFWFB Co-Host: Dave McDonald https://twitter.com/RunDMcD - Recent MLB News - Arraez traded to SD - Parker Meadows demoted...

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Episode 842 Part 1 - What to Look For

Host: Justin Mason @JustinMasonFWFB
Co-Host: Dave McDonald @RunDMCD

  1. Recent MLB News
    • Arraez traded to SD
    • Parker Meadows demoted to AAA
    • Buxton knee to IL
    • Musgrove elbow inflammation IL
    • Kwan hamstring IL
    • Langford hamstring IL
    • Lane Thomas knee IL
    • Trout knee IL - “should be back this season”
    • Evan Phillips hamstring IL
    • Yelich, Bellinger, Suzuki, Sano all getting close to returning later this week or next
    • Steele back, Ben Brown to bullpen, Wesneski staying in rotation for now
    • Woo, Garrett, Pivetta and Bello likely returning this week
    • Christian Scott, Mason Black, Jack Leiter, Jordan Beck, Joey Loperfido, Tyler Black, Kyle Manzardo, Bryan Ramos, PCA all up
    • Gasser coming up to start Friday?
    • Skenes not coming up this week?
    • Holliday, Mervis, Clase, Jordan Walker sent down

  1. What to look for at this point in the season:
    • Pitchers
      1. SIERA not ERA
      2. WHIP will stabilize eventually but it’s too early
      3. Ks and BBs stabilize early, but SwStrk% is more telling for Ks early
      4. Check HR rate, BABIP and LOB% for luck
    • Hitters
      1. Check AVG vs xBA
      2. For AVG look at Contact% Z-Con% LD% BABIP HH% K% not AVG
      3. For power, look at EV50, Pull%, barrel%, FB%, HR/FB not HRs
    • Also look at historical results and compare how they’re doing in these stats vs historical trends
    • Have to be able to figure out what just looks like a hot streak and what’s sustainable legitimate growth
      1. Adell: K% and SwStrk% way down, barrel% and HH% way up, contact% way up, Z-Con% way up, BABIP normal

  1. Don’t just look at results - look under the hood
    • Connor Wong vs Logan O’Hoppe
    • Wong: 98.9 EV50 (206) / HH: 33% / 6.7% barrel / xBA .248
    • O’Hoppe: 100.6 EV50 (100) / HH: 47% / 8.3% barrel / xBA .270
    • check HR/FB, BABIP
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Author Justin Mason
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